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Using Climate Change Scenarios to Explore Management at Isle Royale National Park

TitleUsing Climate Change Scenarios to Explore Management at Isle Royale National Park
Publication TypeManual Entry
Year of Publication2013
AuthorsFisichelli, Nicholas, Cat Hawkins Hoffman, Leigh Welling, Richard B. Rood, Laura J. Briley, and GLISA
Natural Resource Report NPS/NRSS/CCRP/NRR
Citation Key1524
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Comments

This report uses the National Park Service Scenario Planning technique.

This is characterized by looking at PLAUSIBLE futures, as opposed to probable or likely futures.   Then it looks at a set of management decisions in that plausible future.  

The process followed here led us to think about variability, especially the Arctic Oscillation.   The information about mean changes had relatively little influence on the outcomes of the planning process.